UFC 71 Betting Odds

By Paul Monday, May 21, 2007
Chuck Liddell (-180) vs Quinton Jackson (+175) - With endless training videos, interviews, and commentaries the betting line for Chuck Liddell and Quinton Jackson is finally tightening up. If you were looking to follow Randy Couture's advice and bet on Jackson the best odds are behind you now (but still worth it down to +170). But, if you think the Ice Man is taking this one home you should be able to get a piece of him for around -200 and maybe even -175 by Friday or early Saturday, with four solid books to chose from you should be able to play either side of this one comfortably. Myself, I already dropped my dienero when Jackson was +200.

Karo Parisyan (-300) vs Josh Burkman (+260) - The betting public is still in love with Karo and money continues to come in behind him. The line on this fight should be much closer (-115/+135). My prediction for the fight is decsion for Burkman and a hell of a fight. With the current moneyline, the only value I see is a bet on Josh Burkman at +175 on up.

As for the other three main card fights here's my two cents on potential value bets:

Ivan Salaverry vs. Terry Martin - This is a very unique match up. Salaverry is very reminiscent of Matt Lindland, an unassuming looking fighter who knows how to win. Ivan has been very inactive though with only one fight in 2006 and his last octagon appearance was a loss to Nate Marquart in 2005. Terry Martin on the other hand has been very active with 4 fights in 2006 and one so far this year. Terry has only 2 losses on his record and 7 straight up KO's...that's serious shit...,he also just dropped down to 185 this year and showed loss in power during his brief fight with Rivera. Terry's punching power will likely make it's mark in this fight as well. Value bets on this fight would be Ivan at +350 up and Terry -170 on down.

Keith Jardine vs. Houston Alexander - Alexander, who likes the GnP, will have a tough introduction to the UFC. The odds on this will heavily favor Jardine and I'm not betting against him for any price in this fight. Jardine by TKO, I'd put money on Jardine at -250 or better.

Chis Leben vs. Kalib Starnes - Leben has the name recognition and record to push the odds pretty strongly in his favor, In my opinion though this is another close fight. Starnes has beaten the last man to beat Leban (2005) and has the advantage on the ground. In the stand up Starnes is more technical but unless you through precise bombs (ala Silva) Leben can take a hell of a shot and as he's said before his reaction is to instantly strike back....hard. This fight could go either way. I'd give Starnes about a 30% chance for a sub and a 45% chance if it goes to the cards. Overall I see value in a Kalib Starnes bet at +200 or better. Odds on Leben would need to hit -150 (60%) before I see value on his side.

You wanna make a bet....
Desert Dog

I have followed the UFC for over 10 years, written as a handicapper, and spent my spare time as an online poker grinder. Unfortunately, I ran out of legal wagering options...Thank god for Daily Fantasy Sports and the much needed addition of MMA drafts. I offer my insight into MMA fight handicapping and fight analysis for the purpose of making some dough at DFS!

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