Guida vs Aurelio Betting Odds

By Paul Monday, August 20, 2007
Surprisingly this fight which will need a small miracle to actually make the broadcast is one of the most talked about matchups on the card. Part of the reason is Clay Guida's last two fights in which he lost impressively to a couple of very good fighters. The other reason may be comments like those reported by insidefighting.com, where he basically says he should be 3-0 (UFC) and believes that a win here will put him in the hunt for the LW belt. Let's just get past this one.

Guida's overall record is 21-8 and he has a relentless brawling style that fans love to watch. Unfortunately, his two toughest tests in the ring resulted in losses. His most recent was tight and could be argued either way. His style leaves him open to more technical fighters especially on the ground. Although he has significant experience on the ground he's not up to par with Aurelia.

Marcus Aurelio (14-4) who trains with American Top Team saw his toughest fights in Pride including 2 fights with Gomi. The first he finished with a submission the second he dropped a split decision. Aurelio's biggest knock is that he has been out for about 10 months, but aside from that he is a very sharp technical ground fighter who has seen a wide array of tough competition.

The books have this one very close with the best odds on Aurelio sitting at +100 (Bodog) and -115 (BetUS) for Guida. Clay is the slight favorite simply because his name is much more know to US bettors. My straight pick here is for a high paced battle which will eventually end in a submission for Aurelio

You wanna make a bet....
Desert Dog

I have followed the UFC for over 10 years, written as a handicapper, and spent my spare time as an online poker grinder. Unfortunately, I ran out of legal wagering options...Thank god for Daily Fantasy Sports and the much needed addition of MMA drafts. I offer my insight into MMA fight handicapping and fight analysis for the purpose of making some dough at DFS!

1 comment to ''Guida vs Aurelio Betting Odds"

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  1. Hey DD,

    No doubt, this is gonna be a close fight. However, I don't see Clay getting subbed. I think Clay's gonna come out relentless, and Aurelio's gonna be as timid as usual.

    Clay will probably LnP him via superior wrestling for 3 rounds and get the nod from the judges.

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