UFC 98 Betting Odds: Rashad Evans vs Lyoto Machida

By Paul Wednesday, May 06, 2009
Rashad Evans (+170 BetUS) vs Lyoto Machida (-200 Bodog)

It's a dream LH championship fight with two unbeaten fighters meeting in their prime. Two opposing standup styles that both rely on speed and varied attacks, both are very strong on the ground with Machida having a better submission game and Rashad having strong wrestling and a vicious ground and pound game. This match up is incredibly close and each have the tools to finish the other standing or on the ground...

Waht it all means to me is that Rashad is way, way under valued at +170 (37% probability). Machida should have just a slight edge overall in this fight, but really it's as close to a 50/50 fight as you could want. I don't have time to dive into all the detail of their styles and records, I just see a huge edge in a bet on Rashad, plain and simple.

Sugar's unbeaten and holds the belt, you have to respect that. The odds will start moving toward even as the fight grows closer so get your bets in now if you want a little sugga!

You wanna make a bet....
Desert Dog

I have followed the UFC for over 10 years, written as a handicapper, and spent my spare time as an online poker grinder. Unfortunately, I ran out of legal wagering options...Thank god for Daily Fantasy Sports and the much needed addition of MMA drafts. I offer my insight into MMA fight handicapping and fight analysis for the purpose of making some dough at DFS!

5 comments to ''UFC 98 Betting Odds: Rashad Evans vs Lyoto Machida"

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  1. I agree somewhat. But, I don't think I've ever even seen Machida hurt in a fight. I also think Machida has an edge in the standup with great takedown defense, precision striking, and elusive movement. Machida is also proven on the ground and can pull submissions.

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  2. In a straight pick I would always take Machida because he'll win more than 50% of the time. His style, technique, power and elusiveness are all there... but, I bet the edge and I feel the odds warrent a bet (not huge)on the dog.

    Evans is the champ for a reason and it's a smart bet sometimes to go against what you think in terms of straight match ups and really look at the odds. If you believe Evans only has a 37% chance of winning then don't bet, if you think it's closer to 45% that's a big enough edge to play. Making bets like this pays off in the end. I'm not looking for a home run just trying to stay on the winning side of the edge.

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  3. I agree DD,

    Machida is my pick to win, but I got a bet in on Rashad at +190. Too good to pass up at those odds; way undervalued. Rashad shouldn't be a 2:1 dog against almost anybody at 205.
    Can't wait til tonight to see what happens!

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  4. RunFromThePoPo1:07 AM

    So how much did you guys lose betting on Evans? I made a nice bundle betting on Machida.

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  5. I thought Machida would win but I didnt think he was as big a favourite as the moneyline suggested.

    After watching the fight I guess I was wrong.

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